Trump’s self-inflicted wounds

Democrats hoping to impeach Trump after the mid-terms will be buoyed by the latest poll from G. Elliott Morris Strength in Numbers newsletter.

It found that 55% of those surveyed support the House of Representatives voting to impeach Trump with 37% opposing and 8% are unsure.

Morris notes that House of Representatives Member John Larson has introduced 13 articles of impeachment against Trump and has been supported by 85 House members either supporting that or invoking the 25th Amendment.

Morris said “45% of all adults say they strongly support impeachment while only 30% strongly oppose it that is a 15% intensity gap in favour of impeachment – the people who want Trump out are both more numerous and more committed than the ones who want him to stay.”

He says there are three groups who don’t support impeachment, Republicans, seniors (oppose 51% to 47% support).

Morris also cites similar numbers from other pollsters – Pew Research has 52% support for impeachment and Gallup at 52%.

The 25th Amendment deals with the issue of presidential succession. The amendment lays out rules for what happens when there’s a vacancy for the office of the presidency or vice presidency. Most importantly in Trump’s case it applies when a president is no longer able to carry out the duties of the office, either temporarily or permanently.

It was discussed during Nixon’s years and probably should have been during the Woodrow Wilson administration. It also explains how LBJ and Harry Truman came to office.

However, while it may not be much consolation to Trump who believes his popularity is sky-rocketing, his current bigger polling numbers are not yet as high as for Richard Nixon’s impeachment –  58% before he resigned.

Of course – barring a miracle – the current House simply doesn’t have the numbers for impeachment which requires 2018 votes although there are a few Republicans representatives apparently considering it. After the midterms that will almost certainly change.

After the midterms but it is unlikely, although theoretically possible for the new Senate to agree with The House of Representatives on impeachment.

Meanwhile Paul Krugman, in a post (22/4), outlines why Trump’s position is so bad.

“Americans hate, I really mean hate, the Trump II economy,” he writes.

He cites a new Reuters/Ipsos poll that put Trump’s net approval on the economy at minus 33% – worse than Biden’s nadir in 2021-22. A Verasight poll cited by Morris says Trump’s approval on prices and inflation is minus 46%.

Krugman suggests that “Americans are getting angrier and more depressed about the economy over time.”

He says about the public’s anger “My hypothesis is that it has a lot to do with the fabulist promises Trump made during the 2024 campaign when he asserted that grocery prices would ‘come down on Day One’ and that he would cut energy prices by half. Indeed, expected inflation among self-identified Republicans dropped sharply to zero after Trump won the election.”

“Expectations of inflation plunged after the election among voters without higher education, which suggests that many low-education voters believed Trump’s promise to reduce prices,” Krugman said,

As for cutting energy prices by half. it’s hardly necessary for any of us to comment on that current self-infected wound.

Krugman summed the current situation up when he said “I believe that what we are witnessing now is heightened rage about a president who lied to win office, made the economy worse than it was. And it’s reasonable to believe that Americans will only become angrier as Trump’s lies on other fronts and the damage they have done becomes more and more apparent.”

 

 


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